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How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 27?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 27?

Resolves Aug 2, 2026·$231 24h vol·geopolitics
$231 total volume·Open for 1 days

25-49

37%-6.5%
OutcomeYesNo
25-49
50-74
75-99
<25
100+

Order Book

25-49

PriceSharesTotal
97.0¢26$25
95.0¢10$10
94.0¢8$8
84.0¢50$42
80.0¢200$160
64.0¢20$13
57.0¢200$114
55.0¢7$4
50.0¢last trade
37.0¢ spread
18.0¢22$4
17.0¢18$3
15.0¢50$8
6.0¢60$4
5.0¢100$5
4.0¢7$0
3.0¢100$3
1.0¢1.0k$10
$36 bids$375 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from July 27, 2026, through August 2, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

25-49

37%