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Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027·$1.1k 24h vol·geopolitics
$4.1M total volume·Open for 348 days

December 31

14%+0.0%
OutcomeYesNo
December 31

Order Book

December 31

PriceSharesTotal
25.0¢20$5
24.0¢9$2
21.0¢6$1
20.0¢420$84
18.0¢87$16
17.0¢60$10
16.0¢643$103
15.0¢788$118
13.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
13.0¢4$0
12.0¢269$32
11.0¢2.7k$292
10.0¢50$5
7.0¢311$22
6.0¢392$23
5.0¢400$20
4.0¢556$22
$418 bids$340 asks

Resolution Criteria

On October 9, Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Announcements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to "Yes"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

December 31

14%