Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
Resolves Jan 1, 2027·$0 24h vol·geopolitics
$940.1k total volume·Open for 271 days
December 31, 2026
8%-4.3%
OutcomeYesNo1W24h Vol
+0.1%
—
Order Book
December 31, 2026
PriceSharesTotal
15.9¢281$45
15.0¢24$4
13.2¢100$13
10.8¢21$2
9.7¢80$8
9.0¢20$2
8.6¢313$27
8.5¢11$1
8.4¢last trade
0.5¢ spread8.0¢295$24
7.9¢160$13
7.8¢650$51
7.0¢420$29
6.9¢100$7
6.5¢800$52
6.0¢200$12
5.3¢342$18
$205 bids$101 asks
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Related Markets
December 31, 2026
8%