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Next Alibaba Qwen Flash (3.8+) released by...?

Next Alibaba Qwen Flash (3.8+) released by...?

Resolves Oct 31, 2026·$430 24h vol·tech
$430 total volume

October 31

85%+34.5%
OutcomeYesNo
October 31
September 30

Order Book

October 31

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢160$158
98.0¢88$87
97.0¢11$10
93.0¢11$10
92.0¢34$32
77.0¢last trade
16.0¢ spread
76.0¢20$15
68.0¢20$14
66.0¢100$66
63.0¢5$3
24.0¢5$1
23.0¢20$5
10.0¢8$1
9.0¢5$0
$105 bids$297 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Flash," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Flash tier, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.6-Flash or Qwen3.7-Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Flash, while models whose name does not include "Flash" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Qwen3.7-Flash, Qwen3.7-Plus, or Qwen3.8-Max, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen3-coder-flash, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

October 31

85%