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Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Resolves Sep 30, 2026·$1.8k 24h vol·tech
$1.8k total volume

No release by September 30

34%-10.5%
OutcomeYesNo
No release by September 30
September 20
September 22
September 24
September 28
September 6
September 9
September 10
September 13
September 14

Order Book

No release by September 30

PriceSharesTotal
74.0¢65$48
71.0¢60$43
69.0¢10$7
68.0¢10$7
66.0¢10$7
65.0¢40$26
48.0¢37$18
35.0¢34$12
31.0¢last trade
3.0¢ spread
32.0¢20$6
31.0¢23$7
30.0¢20$6
25.0¢494$123
1.0¢574$6
$149 bids$167 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

No release by September 30

34%