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Next Meta Muse Spark (1.3+) released by...?

Next Meta Muse Spark (1.3+) released by...?

Resolves Sep 30, 2026·$510 24h vol·tech
$531 total volume·Open for 1 days

September 30

51%-1.0%
OutcomeYesNo
September 30
August 31

Order Book

September 30

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢34$34
95.0¢100$95
94.0¢60$56
90.0¢21$19
89.0¢6$5
88.0¢16$14
55.0¢20$11
54.0¢289$156
55.0¢last trade
7.0¢ spread
47.0¢141$66
15.0¢75$11
6.0¢11$1
5.0¢150$8
4.0¢250$10
3.0¢417$13
2.0¢639$13
1.0¢1.4k$14
$135 bids$390 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.3+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.3 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.3 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.1 or Muse Spark 1.2 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.3, such as Muse Spark 1.2 (including any open-weight re-release of it), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

September 30

51%