Next UK by-election called by…?
Resolves Jan 1, 2027·$6.4k 24h vol·politics
$21.5k total volume·Open for 45 days
December 31
99%+41.6%
OutcomeYesNo1W24h Vol
December 31
+44.5%
—
September 30
+80.8%
$6.4k
Order Book
December 31
PriceSharesTotal
99.9¢340$340
99.8¢221$221
99.7¢15$15
no trades yet
1.3¢ spread98.4¢30$30
98.3¢100$98
98.2¢5$5
98.1¢5$5
98.0¢800$784
94.9¢20$19
89.1¢60$54
88.4¢200$177
$1.2k bids$575 asks
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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December 31
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