NYC Mayor # posts July 28 - August 4, 2026?
40-59
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Understand this market
This market is asking a simple counting question: how many times will New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani post on X (formerly Twitter) in one specific week? The three outcome ranges are 20 to 39 posts, 40 to 59 posts, or 60 to 79 posts. The market currently favors the middle range, 40 to 59, as the most likely outcome, meaning participants broadly expect a moderately active posting week from the Mayor.
A tracker tool at xtracker.polymarket.com will count every main-feed post, repost, and quote post from the @NYCMayor account between July 28 at noon ET and August 4 at noon ET. Replies to other people do not count, unless they appear on the main feed. One important edge case: if Mamdani deletes a post, it still counts as long as the tracker captured it within roughly five minutes of it being posted. Whichever range his final post count falls into is the winner.
The two news items provided are about a marina renovation in Wellsville and a local administrator returning in Manning. Neither is related to Mamdani, NYC politics, or his social media activity. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kind of development that would matter is anything affecting how publicly active Mamdani is that week, such as a major city event, a political controversy, or a significant policy announcement.
Predicting how often one person posts on social media in a single week is genuinely hard, because it depends on unpredictable day-to-day events. A quiet news week might mean fewer posts; a crisis or big announcement could push the count much higher. Mamdani is a relatively new mayor, so there is limited long-term posting history to rely on. The gap between the three ranges is also fairly tight, meaning even a handful of extra or fewer posts could shift the outcome from one bucket to another.
Order Book
40-59
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 28, 12:00 PM ET and August 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
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40-59
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