Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Resolves Jan 1, 2028·$1.6k 24h vol·crypto
$132.1k total volume·Open for 139 days
$400M
29%-5.4%
OutcomeYesNo1W24h Vol
+20.9%
—
+17.2%
—
-1.0%
$927
+0.9%
—
-5.3%
$590
+3.2%
—
-4.0%
—
+2.8%
$90
Order Book
$400M
PriceSharesTotal
67.9¢468$318
67.8¢22$15
60.8¢192$117
60.7¢31$19
60.6¢30$18
53.1¢140$75
53.0¢50$27
52.9¢8$4
9.3¢last trade
49.2¢ spread3.7¢19$1
3.6¢22$1
3.4¢31$1
2.8¢8$0
2.7¢30$1
0.9¢10$0
0.8¢171$1
0.6¢10$0
$5 bids$592 asks
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
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