
Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Resolves Jan 1, 2028·$1.3k 24h vol·crypto
$169.5k total volume·Open for 227 days
$50M
13%+1.0%
OutcomeYesNo1W24h Vol
-0.5%
$247
-0.1%
—
-2.3%
$186
-3.3%
$865
-0.3%
—
+0.3%
—
-0.5%
—
+1.6%
—
Order Book
$50M
PriceSharesTotal
64.0¢1.4k$925
62.0¢553$343
61.0¢256$156
59.0¢20$12
50.0¢20$10
17.0¢1.0k$170
15.0¢177$27
14.0¢492$69
12.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread12.0¢191$23
11.0¢486$53
10.0¢333$33
6.0¢22$1
3.0¢9$0
2.0¢800$16
1.0¢2.3k$23
$151 bids$1.7k asks
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
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