Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
Resolves Nov 4, 2026·$21.2k 24h vol·politics
$20.2k total volume
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
61%+1.4%
OutcomeYesNo24h Vol
$473
$12.9k
$6.5k
$1.3k
Order Book
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
PriceSharesTotal
64.7¢1.1k$694
63.5¢54.1k$34.3k
63.4¢200$127
63.0¢22.0k$13.9k
62.9¢9.9k$6.2k
62.4¢10.0k$6.2k
62.1¢7.2k$4.5k
62.0¢600$372
60.5¢last trade
1.2¢ spread60.8¢4.2k$2.5k
60.7¢2.0k$1.2k
60.5¢272$165
59.9¢4.4k$2.6k
59.7¢8.0k$4.8k
59.6¢23.6k$14.1k
59.3¢15.2k$9.0k
59.1¢3.0k$1.8k
$36.1k bids$66.3k asks
Resolution Criteria
The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usp.pdf.
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No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
61%