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Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?

Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?

Resolves Jul 1, 2027·$0 24h vol·politics
$43.4k total volume·Open for 42 days

June 30, 2027

30%-10.0%
OutcomeYesNo
June 30, 2027
December 31, 2026

Order Book

June 30, 2027

PriceSharesTotal
88.0¢37$33
84.0¢5$4
81.0¢18$15
67.0¢20$13
66.0¢30$20
43.0¢50$22
42.0¢40$17
41.0¢6$2
21.0¢last trade
22.0¢ spread
19.0¢158$30
11.0¢20$2
10.0¢30$3
9.0¢611$55
8.0¢400$32
6.0¢660$40
5.0¢1.0k$50
4.0¢2.4k$97
$309 bids$125 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur: - Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner; - Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or - the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components. Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met. Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.

June 30, 2027

30%