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Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$392 24h vol·politics
$371 total volume

SPD

77%+0.5%
OutcomeYesNo
SPD
Linke
CDU
Grüne
FW
FDP
AfD
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Order Book

SPD

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢540$535
98.0¢300$294
97.0¢30$29
89.0¢62$55
81.0¢21$17
79.0¢60$47
78.0¢160$125
79.0¢last trade
3.0¢ spread
75.0¢1.5k$1.1k
73.0¢42$31
11.0¢226$25
7.0¢100$7
6.0¢830$50
5.0¢100$5
4.0¢100$4
3.0¢6$0
$1.2k bids$1.1k asks

Resolution Criteria

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government formed after the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern.

SPD

77%