Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?
1550
New here?
Understand this market
This market asks whether any AI chatbot will reach a specific numeric score on a math-focused leaderboard by the end of 2026. The leaderboard at Arena.AI ranks AI models based on how often real users prefer their answers in head-to-head comparisons, specifically for math questions. There are three separate score thresholds: 1550, 1575, and 1600. Each one is its own Yes or No question. A higher score means a model is winning more math comparisons against other models.
Order Book
1550
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Read the full market guide →Related Markets
1550
85%