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Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$3.1k 24h vol·politics
$3.4M total volume·Open for 178 days

June 30, 2027

36%-6.0%
OutcomeYesNo
June 30, 2027
December 31
September 30

Order Book

June 30, 2027

PriceSharesTotal
65.0¢50$33
64.0¢30$19
57.0¢5$3
51.0¢5$3
50.0¢50$25
49.0¢71$35
44.0¢22$10
40.0¢44$18
30.0¢last trade
8.0¢ spread
32.0¢6$2
31.0¢116$36
30.0¢480$144
29.0¢1.6k$473
28.0¢7.0k$2.0k
19.0¢6$1
18.0¢30$5
17.0¢200$34
$2.7k bids$144 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.

June 30, 2027

36%