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Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$486.7k 24h vol·politics
4 comments·$549.8k total volume·Open for 133 days

June 30, 2027

63%-0.5%
OutcomeYesNo
June 30, 2027
December 31
September 30
July 15

Order Book

June 30, 2027

PriceSharesTotal
94.0¢17$16
93.0¢1.1k$1.1k
92.0¢13$12
90.0¢10$9
89.0¢6$5
87.0¢8$7
86.0¢100$86
74.0¢7.5k$5.6k
73.0¢108$79
72.0¢11$8
19.0¢ spread
53.0¢20$11
52.0¢19$10
51.0¢7.5k$3.8k
37.0¢38$14
36.0¢2.2k$800
35.0¢1.0k$350
33.0¢242$80
32.0¢5.0k$1.6k
30.0¢20.0k$6.0k
25.0¢400$100
$12.8k bids$6.8k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.

June 30, 2027

63%