Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
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This market asks whether President Trump will officially free Sam Bankman-Fried from his prison sentence before August 2026. Sam Bankman-Fried — often called SBF — founded the crypto exchange FTX, which collapsed in 2022. He was convicted of fraud and sentenced to 25 years in federal prison. A Yes means Trump uses his presidential power to pardon him (wipe the conviction), commute his sentence (shorten it), or issue a reprieve (temporarily pause it). A No means SBF stays in prison without any such action from Trump.
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Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
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