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Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by September 25?

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by September 25?

Resolves Oct 7, 2026·$123 24h vol·economy
$123 total volume

280M

55%+8.0%
OutcomeYesNo
280M
270M
260M
250M
200M

Order Book

280M

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢114$112
98.0¢241$236
96.0¢25$24
95.0¢11$11
93.0¢34$32
89.0¢1$1
88.0¢last trade
68.0¢ spread
21.0¢90$19
20.0¢50$10
9.0¢9$1
8.0¢6$1
5.0¢42$2
4.0¢30$1
3.0¢57$2
2.0¢23$0
$36 bids$416 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value after market creation for any week ending on or before September 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before September 25, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached. If data has not been released for the final week ending on September 25, 2026, by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W. Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.

280M

55%