Bitcoin price on July 25?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will Bitcoin's price be at exactly noon Eastern Time on July 25, 2026, and which price range will it land in? The three choices are roughly $62,000-$64,000, $64,000-$66,000, or $66,000-$68,000. A 'Yes' on one bracket means Bitcoin's price at that specific moment lands inside that range. Only one bracket wins, and the others resolve as No. The market is settled using one specific data point: the closing price of the 1-minute trading candle on Binance's BTC/USDT pair at exactly noon Eastern Time on July 25, 2026. No other exchange or currency pair counts, even if Bitcoin's price elsewhere looks different. If the price lands exactly on a boundary between two brackets, it goes to the higher one. The result is pulled directly from Binance's public price chart. None of the provided news headlines are meaningfully relevant to Bitcoin's price on July 25. One report from CoinRabbit touches on Bitcoin broadly, but it covers strategy topics rather than price movement. The other headlines are about unrelated subjects. To watch what actually matters here: look for macroeconomic news, U.S. regulatory updates, major exchange activity, or large shifts in crypto market sentiment in the days leading up to July 25. Cryptocurrency prices are genuinely difficult to predict even a day out, let alone over a longer horizon. The market currently prices the $64,000-$66,000 bracket as most likely at 55%, but that still leaves a 45% chance the price lands somewhere else. Bitcoin can move thousands of dollars in a single day based on news, macroeconomic shifts, or sudden changes in trading volume. Add to that the very precise measurement, one specific minute on one specific exchange, and even a small swing at the wrong moment changes the outcome.

The odds right now

• 64,000-66,00055%
• 62,000-64,00022%
• 66,000-68,00019%
• 60,000-62,0001%
• 68,000-70,0001%
• 58,000-60,0001%
• <56,0000%
• 72,000-74,0000%
• 56,000-58,0000%
• 70,000-72,0000%
• >74,0000%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 25, 2026

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.