Bitcoin price on July 27?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: where will Bitcoin's price land on July 27, 2026, and specifically which price range will it fall into? Participants pick a bracket, like $62,000, $64,000, and if Bitcoin lands there at noon that day, that bracket wins. A 'Yes' for any bracket means Bitcoin hit that range at that exact moment. A 'No' would only apply in an unusual technical situation where the price falls outside all listed brackets. The market settles using one specific data point: the closing price of Bitcoin against the US dollar on Binance, recorded at exactly 12:00 noon Eastern Time on July 27, 2026, using a one-minute price candle. That is one very precise moment, not an average across the day. Only Binance's BTC/USDT price counts, not prices from Coinbase, Kraken, or any other exchange. If the price lands exactly on a boundary between two brackets, it counts toward the higher bracket. A headline from July 24 notes that cryptocurrencies extended losses amid energy and tech market shocks, which suggests Bitcoin was facing downward pressure in the days before the resolution date. That context is relevant because it may explain why the market is concentrated in the $62,000, $66,000 range. The other headlines, covering a Nasdaq compliance issue, oil prices, and a corporate acquisition, do not appear directly connected to Bitcoin's near-term price. Bitcoin's price is genuinely hard to pin down even a few days out, let alone over a longer horizon. A single news event, a regulatory announcement, a shift in broader markets, or a large institutional trade can move prices by thousands of dollars quickly. The market currently spreads most of its probability across two neighboring brackets, reflecting real uncertainty about which narrow range Bitcoin will occupy at one specific minute. Crypto prices are also sensitive to global sentiment in ways that are difficult to forecast.

The odds right now

• 64,000-66,00040%
• 62,000-64,00039%
• 66,000-68,0009%
• 60,000-62,0008%
• 68,000-70,0002%
• 70,000-72,0001%
• 72,000-74,0001%
• 56,000-58,0001%
• 58,000-60,0001%
• >74,0001%
• <56,0001%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 27, 2026

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.