Bitcoin price on July 28?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: what price range will Bitcoin land in at exactly noon Eastern Time on July 28, 2026? It is a multiple-choice question, not a simple yes or no. Right now, three price ranges are on offer: $62,000-$64,000, $64,000-$66,000, and $66,000-$68,000. You pick the bucket you think Bitcoin's price will fall into at that specific moment. Think of it like guessing which step on a staircase a ball will stop on. Settlement is decided by one very specific data point: the closing price of the one-minute Bitcoin/USDT candle on Binance at exactly noon Eastern Time on July 28, 2026. Binance is the only source that counts, so prices from Coinbase, Kraken, or anywhere else are irrelevant. If the price lands exactly on a boundary between two ranges, it goes to the higher range. The market settles whichever bracket that single price falls into, and all others resolve as No. None of the provided news headlines relate to Bitcoin or cryptocurrency in any meaningful way. The stories cover unrelated stocks, a pharmaceutical company, an AI product launch, and a book review. There is no relevant recent news to draw from here. The kind of development that would matter for this market includes major regulatory announcements, large institutional moves into or out of Bitcoin, or significant macroeconomic news affecting risk assets broadly. Bitcoin's price over a year out is genuinely very hard to call. The market currently puts the most weight on the $64,000-$66,000 range at 37%, with $62,000-$64,000 close behind at 34%, but that spread across neighboring buckets shows real disagreement even about the rough level, let alone the exact noon price on one specific day. A lot can happen in a year: regulatory shifts, macroeconomic swings, exchange-level events, or simply Bitcoin's historically high volatility. A one-minute snapshot adds extra randomness on top of the broader directional uncertainty.

The odds right now

• 64,000-66,00038%
• 62,000-64,00037%
• 66,000-68,00011%
• 60,000-62,0009%
• 68,000-70,0002%
• 58,000-60,0002%
• 70,000-72,0002%
• 72,000-74,0001%
• 74,000-76,0001%
• <58,0001%
• >76,0001%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 28, 2026

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

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