Bitcoin price on July 29?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks: what price range will Bitcoin land in at exactly noon ET on July 29, 2026? The three most popular answers right now are $62,000-$64,000, $64,000-$66,000, and $66,000-$68,000. You are not betting on whether Bitcoin goes up or down in general. You are picking a specific $2,000 window that you think Bitcoin's price will sit inside at one precise moment in time, about a year from now. The outcome is decided by a single data point: the closing price of the 1-minute Bitcoin/USDT trading candle on Binance at noon ET on July 29, 2026. Whichever price range that number falls into wins. Only Binance's BTC/USDT price counts, not Coinbase, Kraken, or any other exchange. If the price lands exactly on a border between two ranges, the higher range wins. If Binance data is unavailable for some reason, the market resolves No. None of the provided news headlines are meaningfully relevant to Bitcoin's price on this specific future date. The headlines touch on Bitcoin stocks and unrelated topics, but contain no information about Bitcoin's current price direction or major market developments. The kinds of updates worth watching for would be large regulatory decisions, major institutional moves into or out of Bitcoin, or significant macroeconomic shifts that have historically moved crypto prices. Predicting any asset's price to a specific $2,000 window more than a year in the future is genuinely very hard. Bitcoin is historically one of the most volatile assets that exists, capable of moving tens of thousands of dollars in either direction over months. Regulation, macroeconomic conditions, large investor behavior, and broader market sentiment can all shift dramatically in a year. The market spreads its odds across multiple ranges precisely because no one knows, and that spread reflects honest uncertainty rather than a clear favorite.

The odds right now

• 64,000-66,00034%
• 62,000-64,00028%
• 66,000-68,00017%
• 60,000-62,00011%
• 68,000-70,0004%
• 58,000-60,0003%
• <58,0002%
• 72,000-74,0002%
• 74,000-76,0002%
• 70,000-72,0001%
• >76,0001%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 29, 2026

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.