CZ # posts July 24 - July 31, 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is simply asking how many times Changpeng Zhao, the founder of Binance known as CZ, will post on X (formerly Twitter) during a specific one-week window in July 2026. A 'Yes' for the leading bracket means he posts between 20 and 39 times that week. The competing bracket says he posts fewer than 20 times. The other brackets (60-79, etc.) represent higher posting volumes that the market currently considers much less likely. The final count comes from an automated tracker at xtracker.polymarket.com, which watches CZ's X account from July 24 at noon Eastern Time through July 31 at noon Eastern Time. Only original posts, reposts, and quote posts count. Regular replies do not count, unless they also appear on his main feed. One important edge case: if CZ deletes a post, it still counts as long as the tracker captured it within about five minutes of it being live. No specific recent news about CZ's posting activity was available for this market. The kind of development that would matter here is anything that might cause CZ to post more or less than usual, such as a major crypto market event, a regulatory announcement, or a personal milestone that might prompt a burst of activity. Predicting how often one person will post on social media over a single week is genuinely difficult. CZ's posting pace can shift based on news cycles, crypto market moves, or simply his mood. The market currently splits most of its weight between under 20 and 20-to-39, suggesting real disagreement about his baseline activity level. Without recent data on his typical weekly post count, even a well-informed observer would be estimating, and one busy news day could push the number across a bracket boundary.

The odds right now

• 20-3950%
• <2048%
• 160-1794%
• 40-593%
• 60-793%
• 140-1593%
• 120-1393%
• 100-1193%
• 200+2%
• 80-991%
• 180-1990%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 31, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between July 24, 12:00 PM ET and July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.