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CZ # posts July 28 - August 4, 2026?: how this market works

52%politicsUpdated 2 min ago

What you need to know

This market is simply asking: how many times will CZ post on X (formerly Twitter) during one specific week? CZ is Changpeng Zhao, the founder of the crypto exchange Binance. A 'Yes' for the 20-39 range means he posts somewhere between 20 and 39 times that week. The under-20 range means he posts less than that, and the 40-59 range means he posts quite a lot more. It is a pure counting exercise on one person's social media activity. The market settles based on a specific post-counting tool at xtracker.polymarket.com, which tracks CZ's account from July 28 at 12:00 PM Eastern Time to August 4 at 12:00 PM Eastern Time. Only main-feed posts, reposts, and quote posts count. Regular replies do not count, unless they somehow appear on his main feed. One small detail worth knowing: deleted posts still count, as long as the tracker captured them within roughly five minutes of posting. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kind of thing worth watching would be any major crypto news, regulatory announcements, or public events involving CZ, since those tend to push his posting activity up or down noticeably. Predicting one person's weekly posting volume is genuinely hard. CZ's activity can spike suddenly if something big happens in crypto or if he is publicly active around an event, and it can drop just as fast during quiet weeks. The market is nearly split between 'under 20' and '20-39', with almost no weight on 40 or more, meaning participants see a real chance he posts lightly. A single busy news day could shift the count significantly either way.

The odds right now

  • 20-3952%
  • <2049%
  • 160-1791%
  • 80-991%
  • 40-591%
  • 140-1591%
  • 60-790%
  • 100-1190%
  • 120-1390%
  • 180-1990%
  • 200+0%

Price history

20-39

52%+9.5%

How this resolves

Resolves August 4, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between July 28, 12:00 PM ET and August 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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