Ethereum above ___ on July 25?: how this market works

What you need to know

These are three separate markets asking whether Ethereum's price will be above a specific dollar level at exactly noon ET on July 25, 2026. For each threshold, a Yes means ETH is trading above that number at that moment, and a No means it is at or below it. The three price levels, $1,800, $1,900, and $2,000, are just different bars set at different heights for the same underlying question: how high will ETH be on that specific day? Each market settles based on one single data point: the closing price of the ETH/USDT one-minute candle at exactly 12:00 noon Eastern Time on July 25, 2026, as recorded on Binance. If that closing price is strictly higher than the threshold, it resolves Yes. At or below the threshold means No. Only Binance counts here, not Coinbase, Kraken, or any other exchange. One minute, one price, one source. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kind of developments worth watching would include major Ethereum network upgrades, significant regulatory decisions about crypto in the US or EU, large institutional moves into or out of ETH, and broader shifts in the macroeconomic environment that tend to push crypto markets up or down. Crypto prices over a 12-plus month horizon are genuinely hard to predict. The three thresholds tell an interesting story on their own: the market currently prices $1,800 at 92%, meaning most participants think ETH will be above that level, but $2,000 sits at only 2%, suggesting far less confidence about a strong recovery. The big unknowns are regulatory changes, macro conditions, and Ethereum ecosystem developments, any of which could move the price dramatically in either direction between now and July 2026.

The odds right now

• 1,300100%
• 1,400100%
• 1,500100%
• 1,70099%
• 1,60099%
• 1,80092%
• 1,90036%
• 2,0002%
• 2,1001%
• 2,3000%
• 2,2000%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 25, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.