Ethereum above ___ on July 29?: how this market works

What you need to know

This is actually three separate markets rolled into one display, each asking whether Ethereum's price will be above a specific dollar level ($1,800, $1,900, or $2,000) at a single moment in time: noon Eastern Time on July 29, 2026. A Yes means ETH is trading above that threshold at that exact moment. A No means it is at or below it. The three price levels let you think about different degrees of confidence, from a modest recovery to a stronger one. Each version settles based on one single data point: the closing price of the ETH/USDT trading pair on Binance during the one-minute window that starts at noon Eastern Time on July 29, 2026. If that closing price is strictly higher than the target number, it resolves Yes. At or below, it resolves No. The source is Binance specifically, so prices on Coinbase, Kraken, or any other exchange do not count, even if they differ slightly. There are no averages or ranges involved, just that one minute. No specific recent news was provided for this market. The kinds of developments worth watching would include major shifts in Ethereum's network activity or upgrades, broader crypto market trends, movements in U.S. interest rate policy (which tends to affect risk assets like crypto), and any large regulatory decisions targeting the crypto industry. Crypto prices are genuinely hard to predict over a year-long horizon, which is roughly how far away July 2026 is. The market currently prices the $1,800 threshold at 97%, suggesting most participants see it as likely but not certain. The $2,000 level sits at only 19%, reflecting real doubt about a stronger recovery. The main sources of uncertainty are macroeconomic shifts, regulatory surprises, and Ethereum-specific technical or competitive developments, any of which can move prices dramatically in either direction over twelve months.

The odds right now

• 1,400100%
• 1,500100%
• 1,60099%
• 1,70099%
• 1,80097%
• 1,90077%
• 2,00021%
• 2,1002%
• 2,2001%
• 2,3000%
• 2,4000%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 29, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.