Ethereum above ___ on July 31?: how this market works

What you need to know

These three markets each ask a simple price question: will Ethereum's price be above $1,500, $1,600, or $1,700 on a specific future date? A Yes means ETH is trading above that dollar level at noon Eastern Time on July 31, 2026. A No means it is at or below that level at that exact moment. Think of it like a snapshot: only the price at one specific minute matters, not the day's average or high. Each market settles based on one single data point: the closing price of ETH/USDT on Binance during the one-minute candle that starts at noon Eastern Time on July 31, 2026. Binance is the only source that counts, so prices on Coinbase, Kraken, or anywhere else are irrelevant even if they differ. If that one Binance price is even one cent above the target, it resolves Yes. At or below the target, it resolves No. No averages, no other exchanges, no exceptions. No specific recent news was provided for this market. For a price question like this, the kinds of developments worth watching would include major shifts in broader crypto sentiment, significant Ethereum network upgrades, regulatory announcements affecting crypto markets, or large moves in Bitcoin that tend to pull ETH along with them. The market currently prices all three thresholds, $1,500, $1,600, and $1,700, at around 98%, meaning participants collectively see it as very likely ETH stays above these levels by July 2026. The real uncertainty here is not a balanced debate between two sides. It is the small but real possibility of a sharp, unexpected crash before the deadline. Crypto markets can drop dramatically and quickly, and over a year-long horizon, a lot can change.

The odds right now

• 1,40099%
• 1,50098%
• 1,60098%
• 1,70098%
• 1,80091%
• 1,90067%
• 2,00030%
• 2,1009%
• 2,2003%
• 2,3001%
• 2,4001%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 31, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.