Ethereum price on August 5?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the price of Ethereum (ETH) be at exactly noon Eastern Time on August 5, 2026? There are three price ranges to choose from: $1,700-$1,800, $1,800-$1,900, or $1,900-$2,000. The market currently puts the strongest odds on Ethereum sitting somewhere in the $1,800-$1,900 range at that specific moment. A 'Yes' for a given range simply means ETH lands inside those dollar boundaries at noon on that day. Settlement is determined by one single data point: the closing price of the Ethereum/USDT trading pair on Binance, on the one-minute candle that closes at exactly 12:00 noon Eastern Time on August 5, 2026. Whichever price bracket that number falls into wins. One edge case worth knowing: if the price lands exactly on a boundary between two brackets, the higher bracket wins. Also, only Binance ETH/USDT counts here, not prices from Coinbase, Kraken, or any other exchange. None of the provided news headlines relate to Ethereum or cryptocurrency markets. The stories cover ethanol farming, fuel prices, crude oil, solar tariffs, and real estate investment trusts. To follow this market meaningfully, the kind of news that would actually matter includes major Ethereum network updates, shifts in broader crypto market sentiment, regulatory announcements affecting digital assets, or large macroeconomic events that tend to move crypto prices. Crypto prices are genuinely hard to forecast over a year out, and that is the core challenge here. The market prices the $1,800-$1,900 range at 75%, so it is not treating this as a coin toss. But a lot can happen between now and August 2026: regulatory changes, technology shifts, macroeconomic swings, or broader market cycles could all push ETH well outside the expected range. The resolution also hinges on a single one-minute price snapshot, so even a brief price spike or dip right around noon could change the outcome.

The odds right now

• 1,800-1,90075%
• 1,900-2,00024%
• 1,700-1,8002%
• 2,000-2,1000%
• 1,600-1,7000%
• 2,100-2,2000%
• 1,500-1,6000%
• 2,200-2,3000%
• <1,4000%
• 1,400-1,5000%
• >2,3000%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 5, 2026

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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