Solana price on August 5?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking a simple question: what will the price of Solana (SOL), a major cryptocurrency, be at noon Eastern Time on August 5, 2026? Participants pick a price range, and the one that matches the actual price wins. The ranges offered are $60-70, $70-80, and $80-90. Right now, the market strongly leans toward Solana sitting in the $70-80 range at that specific moment, with very little weight on the other two ranges. Settlement is decided by one very specific data point: the closing price of the SOL/USDT trading pair on Binance, taken from the one-minute candle that closes at exactly noon Eastern Time on August 5, 2026. Only Binance counts here, not Coinbase, Kraken, or any other exchange. If the price lands exactly on a boundary between two ranges, the higher range wins. If Binance data is unavailable for some reason, the market resolves No. None of the provided news headlines relate to Solana or cryptocurrency prices. The stories cover shipping fuel markets, retail sales, horoscopes, local gas prices, and real estate. To follow this market meaningfully, the news that would matter includes major regulatory developments around crypto, broad market moves in Bitcoin (which often pulls Solana), and any significant Solana network news or large exchange activity. Cryptocurrency prices are genuinely hard to predict over a year out, and that is the honest core of this challenge. The market prices the $70-80 range at 95%, so it is heavily one-sided, but the main uncertainty is simply whether something unexpected pushes Solana outside that band by August 2026. A broad crypto rally, a major selloff, regulatory shocks, or a Solana-specific event could all shift prices significantly. One year is a long time in crypto, and large swings in either direction are historically common.

The odds right now

• 70-8051%
• 60-7049%
• 80-9048%
• 100-1105%
• 50-602%
• 30-401%
• 40-501%
• 110-1201%
• <300%
• >1200%
• 90-1000%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 5, 2026

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

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