Highest temperature in Atlanta on July 22?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Atlanta get on July 22, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know which two-degree temperature band will contain the single highest temperature reading of the day at Atlanta's main airport. A result of 90-91°F, for example, means the hottest moment of that day lands somewhere in that range. Think of it as picking the peak of the thermometer for one summer day in one of the hottest major cities in the American South. The market settles based on the official peak temperature recorded at Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport on July 22, 2026, as reported by Weather Underground. Whatever the highest single reading is that day, the market resolves to whichever range contains it: 88-89, 90-91, or 92-93°F, and so on. The reading is in whole degrees Fahrenheit, no decimals. It locks in once the first data point for July 23 appears on Weather Underground, after which any later corrections to the data are ignored. No relevant weather news was provided for this market. The one headline available is about an açaí bowl restaurant opening at Miami airport, which has no bearing on Atlanta temperatures. To track this market meaningfully, you would want to watch extended weather forecasts for Atlanta as July 22, 2026 approaches, or historical temperature records for that date in past years. July in Atlanta is reliably hot, which is why the market clusters so tightly around 90-91°F with about half the weight. But even in midsummer, Atlanta's daily highs can shift several degrees depending on cloud cover, humidity, rain, or an approaching weather system. The spread across three main ranges shows real uncertainty. One passing storm could hold the peak to 88°F; a clear, dry day could push it to 93°F. A full year out, no forecast exists yet, so almost all the uncertainty remains.

The odds right now

• 90-91°F49%
• 88-89°F26%
• 92-93°F17%
• 86-87°F9%
• 94-95°F4%
• 84-85°F1%
• 96-97°F1%
• 83°F or below0%
• 98-99°F0%
• 100-101°F0%
• 102°F or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 22, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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