Highest temperature in Denver on July 22?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Denver get on July 22, 2026? Specifically, it asks which temperature range the afternoon peak will fall into: 90-91°F, 92-93°F, or 94°F and above. A Yes on one range means the day's single highest reading lands inside those two degrees. It is a straightforward temperature guessing question, just structured so only one range can win. The market settles based on the single highest temperature reading recorded at Buckley Space Force Base Station, a weather station in the Aurora suburb east of Denver, on July 22, 2026. The data comes from Weather Underground and is rounded to the nearest whole degree Fahrenheit. The final check happens once the first reading from July 23 appears, locking in whatever the peak was. Any corrections made before that cutoff count; corrections after do not. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The one headline listed is about groundwater management in Islamabad, which has no connection to Denver temperatures. The kind of news that would actually matter here includes seasonal forecasts for the Colorado Front Range, any heat dome or storm system predictions for mid-to-late July 2026, or unusual climate patterns affecting the region. Weather a year out is genuinely hard to call, and even short-range forecasts for Denver can shift quickly. July in Denver is reliably warm, so the three ranges on offer are all plausible, and the market reflects real spread across them. The Buckley station is slightly outside central Denver and can read differently from other nearby stations, so the specific measurement location adds a small extra layer of uncertainty. Weather is ultimately unpredictable at this time horizon.

The odds right now

• 92-93°F45%
• 94°F or higher42%
• 90-91°F11%
• 88-89°F3%
• 86-87°F2%
• 84-85°F1%
• 82-83°F0%
• 75°F or below0%
• 76-77°F0%
• 78-79°F0%
• 80-81°F0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 22, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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