Highest temperature in Karachi on July 22?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks: what will the single highest temperature be in Karachi on July 22, 2026, measured at one specific weather station? The three options are 33°C, 34°C, or 35°C, and you are picking which one the thermometer will hit at its peak that day. To put those numbers in perspective, 33°C is about 91°F and 35°C is about 95°F, so all three options represent a hot but fairly typical Karachi summer day. The market settles based on the peak temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in Karachi on July 22, 2026, as reported by Weather Underground. Whatever the single highest whole-degree Celsius reading is that day, the matching option wins. One detail worth knowing: the result is only confirmed after the first data point for July 23 appears on the site, so there is a brief window where early readings could be revised before the market locks in. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kind of update that would matter here is a seasonal forecast for Karachi's summer 2026, or news about unusual weather patterns in the Arabian Sea region, since sea surface temperatures and monsoon timing both influence how hot Karachi gets in late July. Weather at a single station on a single day is genuinely hard to nail down even one week out, let alone a year in advance. The market prices 34°C as the most likely outcome at 49%, with 33°C close behind at 39%, reflecting that these two degrees cover most of the realistic range. The honest uncertainty here is that a cloud cover shift, an early monsoon surge, or a dry heat spell could easily push the reading one degree in either direction, and one degree is all it takes to change the outcome completely.

The odds right now

• 34°C48%
• 33°C38%
• 35°C9%
• 32°C8%
• 36°C1%
• 30°C1%
• 31°C1%
• 37°C0%
• 38°C or higher0%
• 28°C or below0%
• 29°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 22, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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