Highest temperature in Lucknow on July 23?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Lucknow get on July 23, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature reading of that day at the city's main airport weather station. The three options, 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C, represent different possible peak temperatures, and you are picking which one the thermometer will actually hit at its hottest point that day. The market settles based on the highest temperature recorded at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport on July 23, 2026, as reported by Weather Underground. Whatever the peak reading is that day, in whole degrees Celsius, the matching option wins. The market cannot close until the first data point for July 24 appears on that site, meaning the final overnight reading locks things in. Any corrections made before that cutoff count; corrections after do not. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. Since the event is over a year away, the kind of developments worth watching for would be seasonal climate outlooks for northern India in mid-to-late July 2026, or any unusual weather pattern forecasts for the Indo-Gangetic plain as the date approaches. July in Lucknow is deep monsoon season, and that is the core challenge here. Monsoon rains cool temperatures significantly, so whether July 23 is a cloudy, rainy day or a brief dry spell matters enormously. A single rain event could push the peak down by several degrees. The market currently spreads its weight across 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C almost evenly, which honestly reflects how hard it is to forecast a specific day's peak temperature more than a year out.

The odds right now

• 32°C36%
• 33°C31%
• 31°C19%
• 34°C12%
• 30°C4%
• 35°C1%
• 29°C1%
• 36°C1%
• 28°C0%
• 27°C or below0%
• 37°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 23, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

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