Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 22?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Qingdao get on July 22, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature recorded that day at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport weather station. The three options are 28°C, 29°C, or 30°C (roughly 82°F, 84°F, and 86°F). Whichever temperature bucket matches the actual peak reading that day wins. It is not about the average temperature for the day, just the single hottest moment. The market settles by checking one specific source: the Weather Underground page for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station. After July 22, 2026 ends and the first data point for July 23 appears on that page, the highest recorded temperature for July 22 is locked in. Whichever option matches that reading wins. One important detail: temperatures are rounded to whole degrees Celsius, so a reading of 29.7°C would count as 29°C, not 30°C. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. For a question like this, what would actually matter is seasonal weather pattern forecasts for coastal eastern China in late July, or any climate outlooks for that region in summer 2026. Those are not available here. July weather is genuinely hard to pin down more than a year in advance. Qingdao sits on the coast of the Yellow Sea, and late July temperatures there are shaped by sea breezes, humidity, and shifting pressure systems that cannot be predicted this far out. The market spreads probability across three close options: 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C sit just one degree apart, which is a very thin margin. A single passing cloud system or a sea breeze arriving one hour earlier could shift the peak reading from one bucket to another.

The odds right now

• 29°C37%
• 28°C36%
• 30°C14%
• 31°C7%
• 32°C2%
• 33°C or higher1%
• 27°C0%
• 23°C or below0%
• 24°C0%
• 25°C0%
• 26°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 22, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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