NYC Mayor # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking a simple counting question: how many times will New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani post on X (formerly Twitter) in one specific week? The three possible outcomes are 20 to 39 posts, 40 to 59 posts, or 60 to 79 posts. A 'Yes' for the leading option means the mayor posts somewhere around once every few hours across the week, which is an active but not extreme social media pace for a major political figure. A tracker tool at xtracker.polymarket.com automatically counts every post the @NYCMayor account makes between August 7 at noon ET and August 14 at noon ET. That is exactly seven days. Only original posts, reposts, and quote posts count. Replies to other people do not count, unless X displays them on the main feed. Importantly, even deleted posts count if the tracker captured them within about five minutes of posting. Whoever counts the most posts in that window determines which range wins. None of the provided news headlines relate to Mayor Mamdani or his activity on X. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kind of development that would matter is anything that might dramatically increase or decrease his posting pace, such as a major local crisis, a political controversy, or a scheduled period away from public duties. The core difficulty is that one person's social media habits in a future week are genuinely hard to forecast. A news event, a policy fight, or a quiet vacation week could swing the count significantly. The market currently leans toward 40 to 59 posts, but 20 to 39 is still priced at 37%, meaning real uncertainty exists between those two ranges. Posting behavior can also shift if someone manages the account for the mayor rather than posting personally.

The odds right now

• 40-5956%
• 20-3938%
• 60-796%
• 100-1194%
• 80-993%
• <201%
• 120-1391%
• 140-1591%
• 160-1791%
• 180-1991%
• 200+1%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 14, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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