Solana above ___ on July 31?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Solana's price will be above a specific dollar level at exactly noon Eastern Time on July 31, 2026. There are three separate price targets here: $50, $60, and $70. A Yes on any one of them means Solana's price is higher than that number at that exact moment. A No means it landed at or below it. The current odds suggest the market sees all three targets as very likely to be exceeded, with $70 being the least certain of the three. Settlement is decided by one single data point: the closing price of Solana against the US dollar on Binance at exactly 12:00 noon Eastern Time on July 31, 2026, using the one-minute candle chart. That one-minute window closes, a price is recorded, and that number is compared to the target. Only Binance's SOL/USDT pair counts here. Even if Solana is above the target on every other exchange, or was above it one minute earlier or later, only that specific Binance reading matters. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kinds of developments worth watching for would include major shifts in overall crypto market conditions, significant news about the Solana network itself, regulatory changes affecting crypto broadly, or large moves in Bitcoin that historically pull other coins with them. The main honest uncertainty here is how much can change in over a year. The market currently prices the $70 threshold at 96%, meaning it sees an outcome above $70 as very likely but not certain. The real risk is a tail event: a broad crypto market crash, a Solana-specific technical or security problem, or a major regulatory shock. Crypto prices can fall 50% or more in a matter of weeks. That slim remaining probability reflects exactly that kind of unpredictable, hard-to-model risk.

The odds right now

• 2099%
• 4099%
• 5099%
• 6098%
• 7096%
• 3051%
• 8012%
• 902%
• 1002%
• 1201%
• 1101%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 31, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

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