Solana price on August 4?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the price of Solana (SOL) be at exactly noon Eastern Time on August 4, 2026? The price is divided into ranges, and you pick which range it lands in. Right now, the crowd strongly favors the $70-80 range, meaning most people think one Solana will cost somewhere between $70 and $80 at that specific moment. A price below $70 or above $80 would fall into the smaller, less-favored brackets. Settlement depends on one very specific data point: the closing price of the SOL/USDT one-minute candle at exactly 12:00 noon Eastern Time on August 4, 2026, as shown on Binance. Only Binance counts here, not Coinbase, Kraken, or any other exchange. If the price lands exactly on a boundary between two ranges, it counts toward the higher range. If Binance data is unavailable for any reason, the market resolves No. None of the provided news headlines relate to Solana or crypto markets in any meaningful way. They cover Indian stocks, an IPO, and unrelated financial topics. There is no recent Solana-specific news to draw from here. The kind of news that would matter most is anything affecting broader crypto sentiment, Solana network developments, or major macroeconomic shifts between now and August 2026. Crypto prices are genuinely hard to predict over a year-long horizon, and that is the core difficulty here. The market currently prices the $70-80 range at 92%, which reflects strong consensus, but a single major event (a crypto market crash, a Solana-specific issue, or a broad rally) could push the price well outside that range. The further away a deadline is, the more room there is for surprise. The main uncertainty is simply whether something unexpected happens between now and August 4, 2026.

The odds right now

• 70-8092%
• 60-708%
• 50-601%
• 80-901%
• <300%
• 30-400%
• 40-500%
• 90-1000%
• 100-1100%
• 110-1200%
• >1200%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 4, 2026

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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