Solana price on July 26?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking a simple price question: where will Solana (SOL) be trading on July 26, 2026? Specifically, it asks which price range SOL will fall into, and right now the market strongly favors the $70-$80 range. A 'Yes' for that bracket means SOL closes between $70 and $80 at noon that day. The other brackets, $80-$90 and $60-$70, each have only a small slice of the probability, meaning most participants expect the price to stay in that middle range. This market settles based on one specific data point: the closing price of the SOL/USDT trading pair on Binance, captured from the one-minute price candle at exactly noon Eastern Time on July 26, 2026. Only Binance counts here, not Coinbase or any other exchange. Whichever price range that single number falls into wins. One edge case worth knowing: if the price lands exactly on a boundary between two ranges, like exactly $80.00, the higher range wins. The provided recent news covers oil prices, gold, and stock markets, but nothing directly about Solana or the broader crypto market. That means there is no specific recent news here to point to. The kind of developments that would matter for this market include major crypto regulatory announcements, broader risk-on or risk-off moves in financial markets, or any Solana-specific news around network activity or adoption. Crypto prices over a year-long horizon are genuinely hard to forecast. The market currently prices the $70-$80 range at 96%, which is very confident, but Solana has historically moved dramatically in both directions over stretches of months. A broad market rally could push it well above $80, and a crypto downturn or a Solana-specific problem could send it below $70. The main honest uncertainty here is simply whether something unexpected happens between now and July 2026 to move the price outside that range.

The odds right now

• 70-8051%
• 60-7050%
• 80-9048%
• 50-605%
• 100-1100%
• 40-500%
• 110-1200%
• <300%
• 30-400%
• >1200%
• 90-1000%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 26, 2026

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.