Ted Cruz # posts July 28 - August 4, 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking a simple counting question: how many times will Senator Ted Cruz post on X (formerly Twitter) during a specific one-week window? It is not about what he says or whether something happens politically. A Yes on the 100-119 range means his total posts land between 100 and 119. The other ranges cover higher totals. Think of it as guessing roughly how active he is on social media during that particular week. At the end of the window, which runs from July 28 at 12:00 PM ET to August 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, a tracker tool counts his posts automatically. Only main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts count. Regular replies do not count, unless they appear on the main feed. One important edge case: even deleted posts count, as long as the tracker captured them before they were removed. The tracker at xtracker.polymarket.com is the official source. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kind of development worth watching would be anything that might sharply change Cruz's posting habits, such as a major political event, a Senate vote, a news controversy, or a period when he is known to be traveling or less active online. The honest challenge here is that one person's social media habits in a future week are genuinely hard to forecast. The market prices the 100-119 range at around 85%, suggesting most participants expect a fairly steady, moderate pace of posting. But a single busy news cycle, a political controversy, or a quiet vacation week could push the count outside that range. Small personal decisions, like choosing to repost heavily one day, can shift the total meaningfully.

The odds right now

• 100-119+72.1 pts (1w)89%
• 120-139-18.5 pts (1w)12%
• 140-159-29.0 pts (1w)1%
• 160-179-35.1 pts (1w)0%
• 180-199-10.0 pts (1w)0%
• 200+-10.0 pts (1w)0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 4, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between July 28, 12:00 PM ET and August 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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