Ted Cruz # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is simply asking how many times Senator Ted Cruz posts on X (formerly Twitter) during one specific week. A 'Yes' for a given range means his total post count lands in that bracket: under 80, between 80 and 99, between 100 and 119, and so on. Replies he leaves on other people's posts do not count, but anything he puts on his own main feed, including reposts and quote posts, does. The market is essentially a count of how active he is on social media that week. At the end of the window, which closes August 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM Eastern Time, a tracking tool at xtracker.polymarket.com tallies every qualifying post Cruz made since July 31 at noon ET. Whichever count range that number falls into wins. Replies are excluded unless they somehow appear on his main feed. Deleted posts still count if the tracker caught them within roughly five minutes of posting. If the tracker malfunctions, the market can fall back on checking X directly. No relevant news was provided about Ted Cruz's social media activity this week. The two headlines supplied are completely unrelated to him. To track this market in real time, the thing worth watching is Cruz's actual posting pace on X each day, since a busy news cycle or a major political development often pushes politicians to post more frequently. The honest challenge here is that one person's social media habits in a single week are genuinely hard to forecast. A slow news week might keep him quiet; a major Senate vote, a controversy, or a media moment could send his post count surging. The market currently leans toward the 80 to 99 range, but the 100 to 119 range is close behind. Small daily swings in how active he feels can easily push the count across a bracket boundary, making this sensitive to events that nobody can fully anticipate right now.

The odds right now

• 80-99+18.5 pts (1w)49%
• 100-119-17.0 pts (1w)27%
• 60-79-27.5 pts (1w)17%
• 160-179+2.6 pts (1w)6%
• 40-59-11.0 pts (1w)5%
• 120-139-37.9 pts (1w)3%
• 140-159-38.5 pts (1w)3%
• 200+-40.0 pts (1w)1%
• 180-199-39.6 pts (1w)0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 7, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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