What animals will Trump say in July?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks whether Donald Trump will say specific animal words out loud during July 2026. Each animal, wolf, lion, and dog, is its own separate yes/no question: did he say that word in a recorded public speech, interview, press conference, or similar audio/video moment during that month? It is not about policy or symbolism. It is purely about whether the word leaves his mouth and gets captured on a recording that anyone can access. Each animal resolves Yes if Trump says the word out loud in a publicly accessible audio or video recording made between July 3 and July 31, 2026. If he only writes the word on Truth Social or in a statement, that does not count. If a video is posted in July but was actually filmed before July 3, that also does not count. The criteria are strict about the recording being both public and made within the time window. None of the provided news headlines relate to Trump mentioning these specific animals. The headlines cover an oil tanker explosion, a downed drone, and unrelated culture pieces. There is no recent reporting to point to here. The kind of development that would matter is any widely covered Trump speech, rally, or press moment where animal comparisons or references come up, which he does occasionally in political rhetoric. The core difficulty is that casual speech is hard to predict. Trump gives many interviews, speeches, and press moments each month, and he often uses vivid, unexpected language, so any of these words could appear in an offhand comment. But there is no reliable way to forecast exactly which words he will say. The odds sitting between 43% and 48% across all three animals suggest the market sees each as genuinely close to a coin toss, meaning trackers of his speech patterns find real uncertainty on all three.

The odds right now

• Wolf-0.5 pts (1w)46%
• Dog-31.0 pts (1w)41%
• Fish-7.0 pts (1w)40%
• Snake-21.0 pts (1w)33%
• Shark-3.5 pts (1w)25%
• Cat-38.5 pts (1w)14%
• Elephant-7.5 pts (1w)12%
• Chicken-9.5 pts (1w)11%
• Swan-39.5 pts (1w)6%
• Deer-0.4 pts (1w)5%
• Whale-10.0 pts (1w)5%
• Goat-17.0 pts (1w)5%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 31, 2026

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between July 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.