What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in August 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Airbnb's stock price will touch certain levels at any moment during August 2026. There are three separate price targets: $156, $160, and $140. For the two higher targets ($156 and $160), it resolves Yes if the stock climbs up to or past that price. For $140, it resolves Yes if the stock drops down to or below that price. Think of it like asking: how high or low will Airbnb's stock swing during one specific month? Each target settles based on Airbnb's price during regular stock market hours (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM New York time) on any trading day in August 2026. The data source is a service called Pyth, which records the high and low price of every single one-minute window. If even one of those minute-by-minute readings touches the target, it resolves Yes. Pre-market and after-hours price moves do not count. If Airbnb does a stock split, all target prices are adjusted proportionally to match. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kinds of developments worth watching for would include Airbnb's quarterly earnings reports, any major changes in travel demand, macroeconomic news affecting consumer spending, or broader stock market movements that could push the share price up or down significantly before August 2026. Stock prices over a multi-month horizon are genuinely hard to predict, and there are real forces pulling in both directions here. The market currently prices $156 at 76%, meaning participants think an upward move is more likely than not, but $140 is at 51%, suggesting a meaningful chance of a notable drop too. Earnings results, travel industry trends, economic conditions, and overall market sentiment could all shift the stock considerably. Over a full month of trading, even a stock that trends in one direction can briefly spike or dip enough to hit a target.

The odds right now

• ↑ $156+25.0 pts (1w)75%
• ↑ $160+15.0 pts (1w)65%
• ↓ $140+1.5 pts (1w)52%
• ↑ $164-2.5 pts (1w)48%
• ↓ $136-11.0 pts (1w)39%
• ↑ $168-13.5 pts (1w)37%
• ↓ $132-23.5 pts (1w)27%
• ↓ $128-33.0 pts (1w)17%
• ↓ $124-38.0 pts (1w)12%
• ↓ $120-44.5 pts (1w)6%
• ↓ $116-46.0 pts (1w)4%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves September 1, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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