What price will Bitcoin hit August 3-9?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Bitcoin's price will touch specific levels on Binance during the week of August 3 to 9, 2026. There are two upside targets being tracked: $64,000 and $66,000, meaning the market is asking if Bitcoin climbs that high at any point that week. There is also a downside target of $60,000, meaning the market is asking if Bitcoin drops that low at any point. A Yes on any of these means Bitcoin briefly touched that price, even for a single minute. Each price target settles independently based on Binance BTC/USDT data, using one-minute price candles. For the upside targets ($64,000 and $66,000), it resolves Yes if the highest point of any single one-minute candle reaches or exceeds that price during the week. For the downside target ($60,000), it resolves Yes if the lowest point of any one-minute candle touches or goes below $60,000. Only Binance data counts, not other exchanges. The window runs from 12:00 AM ET on August 3 to 11:59 PM ET on August 9. One piece of news from August 3 is directly related: Capital B announced it holds 3,140 Bitcoin and converted a large block of another asset. Corporate Bitcoin buying like this is sometimes seen as a signal of institutional confidence, but one company's purchase is a small factor in a global market. The other headlines, covering cyberattacks, oil prices, and an unrelated legal case, do not have a clear direct connection to Bitcoin's price movement this week. Bitcoin is one of the most volatile assets in the world, and a single week is a very short window. The price could swing sharply in either direction due to macroeconomic news, regulatory announcements, large trades, or sudden shifts in sentiment, none of which are predictable in advance. The market currently prices the $64,000 target at about 60%, the $60,000 downside at 31%, and $66,000 at 19%, reflecting that participants see upward movement as more likely but the downside as a real possibility. A lot can change in seven days.

The odds right now

• ↑ 64,00062%
• ↓ 60,00031%
• ↑ 66,00019%
• ↓ 58,00011%
• ↑ 68,0005%
• ↓ 56,0003%
• ↑ 70,0002%
• ↓ 54,0002%
• ↑ 72,0001%
• ↓ 52,0001%
• ↑ 74,0001%
• ↓ 50,0001%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 10, 2026

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.