← Markets

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in August 2026?: how this market works

79%economyUpdated 2 min ago

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Meta's stock price will touch certain high price levels at any moment during August 2026. There are three price targets: $540, $560, and $580. For each one, the question is simply: did Meta's stock reach that price, even for a single minute, at any point during normal trading hours in August 2026? A Yes means the price was touched or passed. A No means it stayed below that level for the entire month. Each target resolves Yes if, during any single one-minute window in August 2026 regular trading hours (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM ET), Meta's stock high price hits or exceeds that number. The data source is a platform called Pyth, which tracks prices minute by minute. Pre-market and after-hours prices do not count. If Meta does a stock split, the target prices adjust proportionally. If Pyth has a technical outage, the official daily high from the exchange is used instead. None of the provided news headlines relate directly to Meta Platforms or its stock price. The news most relevant to watch for would be Meta's own earnings reports, major product announcements, broad U.S. stock market moves, or any regulatory developments affecting large tech companies, since those are the kinds of events that tend to move Meta's price significantly in a short period. The $560 and $580 targets are both priced at 95%, meaning the market considers it very likely Meta reaches those levels. The main uncertainty there is simply whether something unexpected, like a major market crash, a serious regulatory action, or a company-specific crisis, prevents it. The $540 target at 72% reflects more genuine two-sided uncertainty. Meta's stock can move sharply on earnings or news, but a full month is a relatively long window, which generally favors reaching a target rather than missing it.

The odds right now

  • ↑ $600+24.5 pts (1w)79%
  • ↑ $620+1.0 pts (1w)55%
  • ↓ $540-1.5 pts (1w)49%
  • ↑ $640-14.5 pts (1w)39%
  • ↑ $660-23.3 pts (1w)27%
  • ↓ $520-23.5 pts (1w)27%
  • ↑ $680-32.6 pts (1w)17%
  • ↓ $500-34.5 pts (1w)16%
  • ↑ $700-39.4 pts (1w)11%
  • ↓ $480-42.0 pts (1w)8%
  • ↑ $720-41.1 pts (1w)8%
  • ↓ $460-46.3 pts (1w)4%

Price history

↑ $600

80%+30.5%

How this resolves

Resolves September 1, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Other outcomes in this market

More markets like this

More market guides

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

On a trade of
Paridesk0.5%
$0.25
MetaMask Predictions4%
$2.00
Jupiter Predictmatches the exchange fee
~$1.00 to $2.00

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.

View & trade →