What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in August 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks whether Natural Gas futures prices will touch certain levels at any point during August 2026. There are three separate price targets: will the price drop to $2.40 or below, drop to $2.60 or below, or rise to $3.00 or above? Each is its own yes/no question. Think of it like asking whether a thermometer will hit a specific mark during a given month, where even one brief touch counts. Each target resolves Yes if, during any single one-minute window within August 2026 trading sessions, the price of the Active Month Natural Gas futures contract touches or crosses that level, even for just a moment. The data comes from Pyth, a real-time market data feed. If the price never reaches the target at any point in August, it resolves No. One important detail: only prices during official trading hours count, and the specific contract tracked may shift to the next month near the end of August per standard rollover rules. None of the provided news headlines relate to natural gas prices, energy markets, or supply and demand factors for this commodity. No relevant recent news was provided. To track this market, you would want to watch for news about U.S. gas storage reports, weather forecasts affecting heating or cooling demand, LNG export activity, and broader energy supply developments. Natural gas is one of the most volatile commodity markets, so price swings are common, but the direction is genuinely hard to call. Weather is a major driver and is unpredictable months out. The market currently prices the $2.60 downside touch at 71% and the $3.00 upside touch at 61%, suggesting traders see both moves as plausible from wherever prices sit today. The wide gap between those targets shows just how much ground the price could cover in a single month, making this a question with real uncertainty in multiple directions.

The odds right now

• ↓ $2.60+18.5 pts (1w)69%
• ↑ $3.00+5.5 pts (1w)56%
• ↓ $2.40-24.5 pts (1w)26%
• ↑ $3.20-30.0 pts (1w)21%
• ↑ $3.40-39.5 pts (1w)11%
• ↓ $2.20+1.8 pts (1w)6%
• ↑ $3.60-44.9 pts (1w)5%
• ↓ $2.00+1.4 pts (1w)4%
• ↑ $4.00-1.1 pts (1w)3%
• ↑ $3.80-1.1 pts (1w)3%
• ↓ $1.80-1.8 pts (1w)2%
• ↑ $4.20-2.1 pts (1w)2%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves September 1, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of August 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of Natural Gas futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.