What will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit in August 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking how high (and how low) Palantir's stock price will travel during August 2026. There are three upside targets: $120, $126, and $132. For each one, the question is simply: will the stock touch that price at least once during normal trading hours in August? A Yes means it got there, even briefly. A No means it never did. The current odds suggest the market sees $120 as nearly certain, $126 as very likely, and $132 as more of a stretch. Each price target settles independently based on one-minute trading data from a service called Pyth. If even a single one-minute window during regular trading hours (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM ET) in August 2026 shows a high at or above the target, that target resolves Yes. If the stock never touches the number during those hours, it resolves No. Pre-market and after-hours prices do not count. If Palantir does a stock split, the target prices are adjusted to match. The market closes September 1, 2026. The provided news headlines from early August 2026 are generic financial roundups and entertainment listings, with nothing specifically about Palantir. There is no relevant company news to point to here. The kinds of developments that would genuinely matter for this market include Palantir earnings reports, major government or commercial contract announcements, or broader moves in AI and defense spending sentiment. Stock prices are hard to predict even a week out, let alone across a full month. Palantir's price is sensitive to AI industry news, U.S. government spending decisions, and overall market mood, all of which can shift quickly. The $120 target at 86% and $126 at 91% suggest the market sees those as quite likely but not guaranteed. The $132 target at 70% carries more real uncertainty. Any surprise, positive or negative, in earnings, contracts, or broader markets could move things sharply in either direction.

The odds right now

• ↑ $126+41.5 pts (1w)92%
• ↑ $132+22.5 pts (1w)73%
• ↓ $120+20.0 pts (1w)70%
• ↑ $138+8.0 pts (1w)58%
• ↓ $114+8.0 pts (1w)58%
• ↑ $144-6.5 pts (1w)44%
• ↓ $108-12.0 pts (1w)38%
• ↑ $150-13.5 pts (1w)37%
• ↑ $156-22.0 pts (1w)28%
• ↓ $102-24.5 pts (1w)26%
• ↑ $162-10.6 pts (1w)25%
• ↓ $96-35.0 pts (1w)15%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves September 1, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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