What price will XRP hit on August 4?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether XRP's price will touch a specific level on August 4, 2026. There are several separate price targets listed (around $1.05, $1.10, and $1.15), and each one is its own Yes/No question: did XRP reach that exact price point at any moment during that day? A Yes means the price touched or crossed the target at least once. A No means it stayed on the other side of that line for the entire 24-hour period. The market is settled using Binance's XRP/USDT trading pair, checking one-minute price candles throughout August 4, 2026 from 12:00 AM to 11:59 PM Eastern Time. For upside targets, it resolves Yes if any single one-minute candle's high price reaches or exceeds the target. For downside targets, it resolves Yes if any candle's low price reaches or falls below the target. Only Binance data counts. Prices from Coinbase, Kraken, or any other exchange are completely ignored. None of the recent headlines provided are relevant to XRP's price movement. There is no XRP-specific news in the feed to point to. The kinds of developments that would matter here include major crypto regulatory news, announcements from Ripple (the company behind XRP), broader crypto market swings, or significant movements in Bitcoin that tend to pull other coins along with them. Crypto prices can move sharply within a single day, which makes specific price-target markets genuinely hard to call. The market currently prices the $1.10 target at just 8%, the $1.05 target at 3%, and the $1.15 target at 1%, suggesting participants see these levels as unlikely but not impossible. The main uncertainty here is whether an unexpected market event, like a regulatory headline or a sudden Bitcoin move, could push XRP into those ranges. With over a year until August 4, 2026, a great deal can change.

The odds right now

• ↑ 1.106%
• ↓ 1.053%
• ↓ 0.901%
• ↓ 0.850%
• ↑ 1.150%
• ↓ 1.000%
• ↑ 1.300%
• ↑ 1.250%
• ↑ 1.200%
• ↓ 0.950%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 5, 2026

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP (XRP/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.