White House # posts July 21 - July 28, 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is simply asking how many times the official White House account on X posts in one specific week. A "Yes" to the top bracket means the account posts 200 or more times between the afternoon of July 21 and the afternoon of July 28. The lower brackets cover lower totals. Think of it like a tally counter on the account's activity for seven days, counting original posts, reposts, and quote posts, but not replies. The final count comes from a specific automated tracking tool at xtracker.polymarket.com, which records every qualifying post during the window. Main feed posts, reposts, and quote posts all count. Replies do not, unless they appear on the main feed. One edge case worth knowing: even deleted posts count, as long as the tracker captured them within about five minutes of posting. The market settles on July 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. The provided headlines from July 24 show an unusually busy week for the White House: a policy announcement on veteran truckers, a rescheduled White House Correspondents' Dinner with Trump speaking, and a high-profile visit from Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu. Events like these tend to generate more official social media activity, since the account often posts about major meetings, speeches, and policy moments as they happen. The main challenge is that social media posting volume is genuinely hard to forecast. It depends on how many newsworthy events happen, how aggressively the team decides to post, and whether any quiet days offset busy ones. The market currently prices the 200-plus outcome at 82%, so it is heavily leaning in one direction rather than being a close call. The real uncertainty is not which side is ahead, but simply whether something unexpected, like a slow news stretch, pulls the count below that threshold.

The odds right now

• 200+69%
• 180-19925%
• 160-1792%
• 140-1590%
• 120-1390%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 28, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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