What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of August 3 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks whether Amazon's stock price will reach specific price levels during one particular trading week. There are three price targets: $272, $276, and $280. For each one, the question is simply: will Amazon's stock touch that price at any moment during regular market hours the week of August 3, 2026? Even a single brief spike to that level counts. The higher the target, the harder it is to reach, which is why $272 has the highest odds (75%) and $280 the lowest (72%, though still fairly high). Each target resolves Yes if Amazon's stock hits that price even once during regular trading hours (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM Eastern Time) on any day from August 3 to August 7, 2026. The check uses one-minute price candles from a data service called Pyth, and specifically looks at the highest price reached within each one-minute window. Pre-market and after-hours trading do not count, even if Amazon trades above or below a target outside those hours. If Amazon does a stock split before then, all target prices adjust proportionally. The only recent news provided is a Supreme Court ruling about life imprisonment sentences, which has no connection to Amazon's stock price. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kinds of developments that would matter to watch for are Amazon earnings reports, major product or business announcements, broader market moves, and any macroeconomic news affecting tech stocks generally. Amazon's stock price over a specific future week is genuinely hard to predict. The market currently prices $272 at 75%, meaning participants think it is more likely than not that Amazon trades that high, but that still leaves meaningful room for it not to happen. Broader market swings, unexpected company news, economic data, or just a quiet low-volume week could all prevent the stock from reaching these levels. The targets are close together, so a single strong or weak week could push all three the same direction at once.

The odds right now

• ↑ $27298%
• ↑ $27696%
• ↑ $28077%
• ↑ $28456%
• ↓ $26851%
• ↑ $28831%
• ↓ $26428%
• ↑ $29221%
• ↓ $26017%
• ↑ $29615%
• ↓ $25610%
• ↓ $2486%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 7, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of August 3 2026, any 1-minute candle for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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