Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Apple will sell a folding iPhone to regular customers before the end of 2026. A Yes means you could walk into a store or go online and actually buy an Apple foldable phone this year. A No means that did not happen, even if Apple showed one off at an event or talked about it publicly. The criteria also note that even a foldable Apple phone without the 'iPhone' name on it would count. The market settles Yes only if a foldable Apple smartphone becomes available for general public purchase by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM Eastern Time. An announcement, a demo, or a preview event does not count on its own. The device must actually be on sale. The key source is official Apple communication, but widespread credible news reporting can also confirm it. If no such product goes on sale by that deadline, it resolves No. None of the recent news provided relates to this market. There are no relevant headlines here about Apple or foldable phones. The kind of news that would matter: a credible supply chain report, an Apple event announcement, or retail listings appearing for a foldable Apple device. At 92%, the market is strongly leaning toward Yes, meaning most participants expect a foldable iPhone to go on sale before 2027. The main uncertainty at this price is simply whether something unexpected gets in the way, such as a production problem, a last-minute delay, or Apple quietly pushing the launch past December 31. Rumors about Apple's foldable plans have circulated for years, so the history of delays is real, and that slim remaining 8% reflects exactly that possibility.

The odds right now

• Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?+5.0 pts (1w)91%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves December 31, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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