← Markets

What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of August 3 2026?: how this market works

99%economyUpdated 2 min ago

What you need to know

This market asks whether the EWY ETF, which tracks a basket of large South Korean companies like Samsung and Hyundai, will touch specific price levels during the trading week of August 3, 2026. A Yes means the ETF's price climbs high enough to reach $157, $158, or $160 at any single moment during that week. These are three separate Yes/No questions, each with its own price target, and the market currently treats all three as nearly certain to happen. Each price target resolves Yes if, at any point during regular U.S. stock market hours (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM Eastern Time) between August 3 and August 7, 2026, even a single one-minute price bar on the EWY chart touches or exceeds that target price. The data comes from Pyth, a price-feed service. Pre-market and after-hours trading do not count. If EWY undergoes a stock split, the target prices adjust automatically to match. If Pyth's data is unavailable, the official daily high from the main exchange is used instead. One relevant headline from August 3, 2026 reports that South Korea has abandoned its longstanding policy of requiring North Korea to commit to denuclearization before other talks proceed. This is a significant geopolitical shift that could introduce uncertainty about stability on the Korean peninsula, which is the kind of news that sometimes moves South Korean stocks. The other headlines in the feed relate to bird flu in Australia and regional politics elsewhere, and are not directly relevant to this market. The market prices all three targets above 98%, meaning participants collectively see these levels as nearly certain to be reached. At that level, the main uncertainty is not whether EWY is rising, but whether something unexpected disrupts it, such as a sharp geopolitical shock, a broader global market sell-off, or a sudden currency move affecting Korean stocks. The denuclearization headline is worth watching because Korean peninsula tensions can move EWY quickly. For a market this lopsided, the realistic question is just: does something surprising happen in the next week?

The odds right now

  • ↑ $15799%
  • ↑ $15898%
  • ↑ $16098%
  • ↑ $15997%
  • ↓ $15693%
  • ↓ $15591%
  • ↑ $16185%
  • ↓ $15482%
  • ↑ $16278%
  • ↓ $15375%
  • ↓ $15267%
  • ↑ $16366%

Price history

↑ $157

99%+49.0%

How this resolves

Resolves August 7, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of August 3 2026, any 1-minute candle for South Korea ETF (EWY) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Other outcomes in this market

More markets like this

More market guides

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

On a trade of
Paridesk0.5%
$0.25
MetaMask Predictions4%
$2.00
Jupiter Predictmatches the exchange fee
~$1.00 to $2.00

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.

View & trade →