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What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit Week of August 3 2026?: how this market works

57%economyUpdated 2 min ago

What you need to know

This market asks whether Alphabet (Google's parent company) stock will reach specific price levels during the trading week of August 3, 2026. There are three price targets: $355, $360, and $365. For each one, a Yes means the stock touched that price at least once during regular market hours that week. A No means it never reached that level. The targets are stacked, so hitting $365 almost certainly means $355 and $360 were hit too. Each price target resolves Yes if, at any point during regular trading hours (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM ET) from August 3 to August 7, 2026, even a single one-minute price bar shows a high at or above that level. The data source is Pyth, a financial data service. One important note: pre-market and after-hours trading do not count, even if the stock briefly trades above a target outside those hours. If Alphabet undergoes a stock split before then, the target prices adjust proportionally. The provided news headlines from this week cover an energy deal, a legal case in India, and a local school story. None of them relate to Alphabet or its stock price. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kinds of developments worth watching for would be Alphabet earnings reports, major product announcements, regulatory decisions, or broad market movements affecting large tech stocks. The market prices these at 85% to 97%, so participants already lean heavily toward Yes for all three targets. The main honest uncertainty is not whether this is a close call, but simply whether something unexpected disrupts the stock. At these confidence levels, the real question is tail risk: a sudden market crash, a surprise regulatory action against Google, or a bad earnings reaction could push the stock below all three targets. The further the target from current prices, the slightly more room for doubt, as reflected in $365 sitting at 85%.

The odds right now

  • ↑ $37557%
  • ↑ $38038%
  • ↑ $38526%
  • ↓ $35022%
  • ↓ $34511%
  • ↓ $3407%
  • ↓ $3207%
  • ↓ $3306%
  • ↓ $3356%
  • ↓ $3254%

Price history

↑ $375

60%+9.5%

How this resolves

Resolves August 7, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of August 3 2026, any 1-minute candle for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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